Hezbollah's leader announced five conditions for the ceasefire, raising doubts about its sustainability. Ceasefire by April 30 at 100% YES.

Trump engages in conflict influenced by Netanyahu as U.S. naval blockade remains active. End of military operations against Iran by April 21 at 13.5% YES.

Israeli Broadcasting Authority suggests Iran may close the Strait of Hormuz again, pushing the Trump US-Iran ceasefire end by ...

Solana’s price dropped from $293 to around $83 amid Middle East tensions, but network activity kept growing through the ...

Iran's Parliament Speaker expresses readiness for martyrdom amid rising tensions. Leadership change by December 31 at 32.5% ...

US-Iran talks resumed in Pakistan amid optimism for a breakthrough. No qualifying diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 7.1% YES.

The phased reopening follows a US-Israeli military campaign that closed Iranian airspace for 49 days and suggests some ...

White House officials announced plans for additional talks in Pakistan on US-Iran peace negotiations. The permanent peace ...

Scott’s comments moved the Trump’s Hormuz Blockade Announcement market. The odds for an announcement by April 19 dropped to 8 ...

Trump’s comment on retrieving Iranian “nuclear dust” after any deal has driven the April 22 permanent peace deal market down ...

The US is ramping up naval operations in the Strait of Hormuz, with plans to seize Iran-linked ships. The odds of the UK ...

The KelpDAO exploit created bad debt on Aave after the attacker deposited RSETH to borrow ETH. Ethereum utilization on Aave ...